Thats going to take a LONG time. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about . Regardless of your skin color, country of origin, body size, religion, gender, or view point, WE ALREADY MADE IT HERE. But, despite your being an extremely wonderful person, such a statement is wildly inaccurate. In 1913, at the roulette wheel at the Casino de Monte-Carlo, the ball dropped into a black slot 26 times in succession. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (41014). It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. Our own galaxy, the Milky Way, has as many as 400 billion stars in it and at least 100 billion planets. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 3.409108 square kilometers, or 340,900,000 km2 (131.6 million square miles, for those benighted souls who still cling to user-hostile British measures). One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. So, round-trip time works out to be about 14 yearsfor the fly to go to the moon and back. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, The answer is five hundred bazillion squintillion, we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. Which one's bigger? As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases. A donut with no hole, is a Danish. The answer, if my math is right, (assuming a mass of the moon of 7.34 x 10^22 kg), is about 7.34 x 10^34 years. The odds of red or black are 50:50 with each spin of the wheel. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? You can consider using our babies name resource to choose baby at 12 weeks old that suits your needs! They look like this , or this, and have to be avoided at all costs. That means that in every step of your lineage, the exact the right sperm had to fertilize the exact right egg such that you would ultimately be created. The only know outcome is that you were born to your particular parents. Suitcases checked and standing side by side. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. This basically ZERO CHANCE of BEING BORN shows me that WE ALL DESERVE having an EQUAL PLACE on Earth! Who knows, maybe the ball that vanished into childhood's thicket? Even if they couldn't read them yet. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. To that, we could add the probability that the one sperm and the one egg met one another because she wasnt in the mood, but lets not split hairs here. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. They each roll the dice and they all come up with. It is like finding out how many angels can stand on a pin-head! Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at Harvard, received a medical degree from the University of California, and studied philosophy at Cambridge University. Take a second and think about that, and put a smile on your face, you fucking miracle you. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at. To get the final answer, technically we need to multiply that by the 1045,000 , 2000 and 20,000 up there, but those numbers are so shrimpy in comparison that it almost doesnt matter. The Zen philosopher, Basho, once wrote, A flute with no holes, is not a flute. Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about 1 in 10. In its Final Data report of U.S. deaths for 2010, the CDC reported assault (homicide) dropped off of the list of the 15 leading causes of death, becoming 16th, following pneumonitis due to solids and liquids.. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. HubPages is a registered trademark of The Arena Platform, Inc. Other product and company names shown may be trademarks of their respective owners. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. Throw your exploding gender reveal football to festively burst with pink or blue powder. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. May 20, 2021; linda hunt commercials; nail salon in publix plaza near me . Otherwise theyd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. Id gladly take those odds over trying to become a millionaire in any other country. That's 150,000 generations. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. Heres how the National Center for Science Education puts it: Any event with a probability greater than 0, no matter how low, will be likely to happen if given enough opportunity, and sure to happen if opportunity is unlimited., Michele Caballero Siamitras Kassube on Pixabay. We might not all like the cards we were dealt in life, but it is our choice to play what weve been given or to go on blaming our lot which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. Perhaps three years ago or just last Tuesday a certain leaf fluttered from one shoulder to another? Awe and wonderment at merely being alive on even a bad or boring day makes perfect sense. Osterholm is one of the world's foremost public health professionals, having served for 40 years on the frontlines of such diseases as Ebola, SARS, MERS, Zika and everything else. Worldwide, there are 2,043 billionaires among 7.4 billion people. Why? So beginning with your folks, your odds of you being born come out to 1 in 400,000,000,000,000,000 or 1 in 4 quadrillion. Lets not get carried away here; well just deal with the human lineage. Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. Were we meant to be, each and every one of us? Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: one in 2000. If you assume there are 3 billion women and 3 billion men alive today, that means 3 x 10^14 eggs and 3.6 x 10^22 sperm are currently on the planet, for a total of 1.1 x 10^37 possible pairings. June 24, 2022 . Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. To say that we are contingent beings is a vast understatement. I recently got to wondering: What are the chances that my son was born? Youre not just one in a million, youre one in a 102,685,000. He breaks the chances you were born down like this: The probability of your parents meeting is one in 20,000. Borels Law says such a number means something is impossible, and yet, its not. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). Now take whats left and live it properly. Marcus Aurelius. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 1 in 2. One in 2,000. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? I was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. Thats a pretty big number, I thought to myself. Sean said that we have already won the cosmic lottery simply by being born because the odds of that happening alone is one in a gazillion times. Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. So what's the probability of your being born? A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull. This button displays the currently selected search type. Are they gross exaggerations? Do you know the odds of being alive? Step 4. Just go have some fucking fun! He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. To illustrate how precious each human being is, self-help author Mel Robbins said during a 2011 Ted Talk that the likelihood of you being born as you has been calculated at about one in 400 trillion. Which ones bigger? But lets think about this some more. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. He used a thought experiment to illustrate this that became known popularly as the infinite monkey theorem; this states that if an infinite number of monkeys pound the keys of an infinite number of typewriters they will eventually write the complete works of Shakespeare. on May 07, 2020: Rupert, in spite of too many odds in a probability, bottom line is that it is just 2 numbers of the roulette, black and red. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. This alone should boost any lingering low self-esteem quite a bit. Because were about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. Visions in Lent: Family Life As a Seen in a Rock Tumbler. Then the probability of Mr. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? An unimaginably long time. The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. Or is it much too early in the week, this being only Monday, for thinking about stuff like this? That should always be a great sense of wonder and a real source of gratitude. Then he looked at the chances of them talking, of meeting again, of forming a long-term relationship, of having kids together, and of the right egg and the right sperm combining to make you. How do you deal with a confirmed bachelor?, 9 Reasons Why Men Lose Interest and What You Can Do About It. Fortunately, just such a person is poised at the keyboard right now, so lets get started. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? Essentially, what Borel said was that any event with a honking big (a technical term used by mathematicians) level of improbability would never happen. You are, He Will Come Like a Thief to Take Back What Is His, Flee to the Truth When Tempted A Homily for the First Sunday of Lent, Ash Wednesday Breaks All the Rules of Modern Churchthink. Further, they would not have existed if their parents had not existed and met, and so on. So now we must account for that for 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000th power: Thats a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes of a book the size of mine with zeroes. Then the probability of Mr. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. What impresses me is that at the moment our parents came together to form us, the Creator of the Universe stopped what He was doing to give, to each and every one of us, a soul unique to itself.
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