The crew speaks with professors Jane Junn and Karthick Ramakrishnan about the context of the Atlanta attacks and how Asian-American political participation has evolved in recent decades. The crew tries to unpack whats driving Democrats legislative decisions and who will have to compromise to pass the party's agenda. Release date: 24 June 2015 Show more With one week left until Election Day, the crew analyzes some of the high-profile races and which issues Americans care about most as they enter the voting booth. The crew previews Californias primaries, which offer unique insight into the divides within the Democratic Party. In the immediate aftermath of the Jan. 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol, it appeared that Republican leaders might be ready to break ties with then-President Trump once and for all. 10 Wednesday AM Reads. Edit your transcribed text. Latino voters swung by eight percentage points toward President Trump in the last election, the largest swing of any racial or ethnic group in the electorate. According to a new poll from the Wall Street Journal, Hispanic voters are now split evenly between the Democratic and Republican parties, just one year after 60 percent voted for Democratic House candidates. Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection Don't Look Great. Good Sport TED Audio Collective Sports Requires subscription and macOS 11.4 or higher 28 FEB 2023 podcast transcripts and podcast transcription services. Their recent data-driven post-mortem of the Latino vote in 2020 looks at which voters were likeliest to favor Trump and offers some hypotheses as to why. MANAGER'S SALARY. Nate Silver and Galen Druke open the mailbag and answer listener questions, including how much it would cost to "fix polling" and why Vice President Harris is polling less favorably than President Biden. In this installment, Robert Crews, a History professor from Stanford University, joins to reflect on the history of the Taliban and the current political landscape in Afghanistan. Dive in and Share your insights! In 2021, cities around the country are choosing mayors to try to lead them through a long list of challenges, both pre-existing and brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers . The crew discusses which indicators are worth watching to get a sense for how the parties will perform in the 2022 elections. They also discuss why gas stoves became such a hot topic of debate on the internet and what the 2024 primary for U.S. Senate in California will look like. People are angry and politicians are pointing fingers. The FBI released nationwide crime numbers from 2020 this week that will likely contribute to the already tense political debate over crime and policing. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what to make of the divergence between the conventional wisdom that Republicans will do very well in the midterms and polling showing Democrats leading in numerous competitive Senate races. Staff writer at The Atlantic Elaine Godfrey and political science professor Danny Hayes discuss the role local news plays in society and what happens when it erodes. Senior writer and legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discusses how the Justices approached the question and what Americans think about abortion policy. FiveThirtyEight Politics 3 days ago Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided. Sign up to get unlimited songs and podcasts with occasional ads. Hours before we freeze the FiveThirtyEight midterm forecast tonight, it shows that Republicans are in a dead heat for the Senate and are favored to win the House. They also assess how polls performed in 2019 and 2020 in general, with the benefit of hindsight and updated pollster ratings. The crew discusses why the Republican National Committee chose to censure Representatives Cheney and Kinzinger and how different parts of the party view the violent events of January 6th, 2021. Nevada Democrats introduced a bill on Monday that would change their state's presidential nominating contest from a caucus to a primary and also dislodge New Hampshire from its position as the first primary in the nation. The crew reacts to the results in Tuesdays primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Kentucky and Oregon. The crew discusses the Senate passage of the Inflation Reduction Act, new polling on how Americans think about crime and gun violence, and how state-level debates over abortion bans are playing out. This is an unofficial transcript meant for reference. FiveThirtyEight Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. The State Of The Polls, 2016. The crew discusses the role partisanship has played in Americans' assessment of risk and their behavior during the pandemic. The crew discusses why Bidens favorability is falling and how much Democrats should worry about it. The crew talks about the threat of a government shutdown and debt default, as well as how likely it is that Democrats get their legislative priorities passed. They consider how much. They also discuss the accuracy of opinion polling conducted in authoritarian Russia and war-torn Ukraine. They also look at mayoral elections, which are taking place in more than two dozen major cities, and special elections for a handful of vacant House seats. They also discuss the latest developments in the current round of redistricting. During the span of 25 years, same-sex marriage went from being an unimaginable idea to settled law. How did the polling averages and seat-gain projections compare with the actual results? Millions of people were without power or heat, and in some cases water, in freezing cold temperatures for days because of severe blackouts. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. To mark a year since Russias full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. The crew discusses what the future of the Build Back Better bill might look like in the Senate and why the provisions in the bill are more popular than the bill itself. The crew discusses how Russias invasion of Ukraine is affecting U.S. politics and the RAND Corportation's Samuel Charap joins to explain the root of Russia's aggression. Local news is disappearing across the country. They also continue to track the types of candidates former President Trump has endorsed in the 2022 Republican primaries. The team assesses New York Governor Andrew Cuomo's political future after a report from the New York Attorney General concluded that he sexually harassed 11 women. No place like 'Nam. About 32 million Americans get summoned for jury duty each year. FiveThirtyEight Politics on Apple Podcasts 200 episodes FiveThirtyEight Politics ABC News News 4.5 19.2K Ratings FEB 21, 2023 What We Know About Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection What We Know About Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection It's a busy week! Thats Changing. FiveThirtyEight's COVID-19 podcast is laser-focused on evidence. The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in Georgia, Texas, Alabama, Arkansas and Minnesota. They also debate how reliable exit polls are in determining what motivates voters and consider how Democrats were able to overcome intra-party disagreements to pass a $1 trillion infrastructure bill. Last week, we began to explore the most high-profile of those mayoral contests -- the New York City Democratic primary. This installment of the podcast explores the role that the Black church plays in American politics, through initiatives like "souls to the polls" and beyond. The conventional wisdom is that if former President Trump wants the Republican presidential nomination in 2024, it's his. Instagram did not return a 200. Pew Research has released its verified voter survey, looking at how different groups within the electorate voted in 2020. FiveThirtyEight Politics Transcripts | Podgist FiveThirtyEight Politics https://fivethirtyeight.com/podcasts/ Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. FiveThirtyEight Politics 199 Episodes Share Follow Episodes About 61 minutes | Feb 27, 2023 How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear To mark a year since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. The team also discusses public opinion on gun laws after recent mass shootings in Texas, New York and California. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. Samuel Charap is a senior political scientist at the RAND Corporation and author of the book Everyone Loses: The Ukraine Crisis and the Ruinous Contest for Post-Soviet Eurasia. They also debate whether the AARP is correct in assessing that women voters over the age of 50 are likely to decide the outcome of the 2022 midterms. So, the usual. New episodes release Tuesdays, Thursdays, and Sundays. They also consider Arizona Sen. Kyrsten Sinema's motivations for registering as an independent and look at the latest polling on a potential presidential primary matchup between Florida Gov. Tia Mitchell, of the Atlanta Journal Constitution, joins the podcast to discuss what to expect from former President Trump's second impeachment trial. Digital Expert Zone; Our Services; About Us; Get In Touch; Shop; dyckman shooting 2021. fairfield, ct concerts on the green 2021 0. They also introduce a new FiveThirtyEight collaboration with Ipsos aimed at polling Americans about the issues they care most about in the run up to the midterms. The crew looks at why it took 15 votes to get Rep. Kevin McCarthy elected House Speaker and what that process says about the two years ahead and the GOP more broadly. The crew discusses the political fallout from the Supreme Courts decision to overturn Roe v. Wade. The crew talks about the appeal of celebrity candidates and what it tells us about our politics. The crew looks at how some of the most competitive primaries in 2022 are shaping up. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. If we said there was a 70 percent chance a candidate would win a race, did that actually happen 70 percent of the time? david senak now. This is the second episode. Its October and the surprises are rolling in. Bot Love was created by Diego Senior. Galen Druke speaks with the founders of the political research firm Equis Research, Stephanie Valencia and Carlos Odio. It's a busy week! In this live taping of Model Talk in Washington, D.C., Nate and Galen break down the current forecasts for the Senate, House and gubernatorial races. While it appears unlikely that 17 Republicans will join Democrats in voting to convict the former president, the evidence presented could help shape the views of the public regarding what happened at the Capitol on January 6, 2021. The crew talks about what led to Cuomo's resignation, how New Yorkers feel about his replacement, and what this means for New Yorks 2022 Democratic primary race for governor. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast Feb. 21, 2023 Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine Feb. 16, 2023 Nikki Haley Has Tough Competition In Trump And DeSantis By Galen. robert kraft granddaughter. They also look at the politics of two hot button issues in the Senate and speak with Carlos Odio of Equis Research about how Latino voters are viewing the two parties in 2022. More Information Location: United States Genres: News & Politics Podcasts Politics News Networks: ABC News (US) Description: The crew discusses why the country responded to the attacks the way it did and how healthy American democracy is today. The crew discusses two elections in Ohio this week that will test the sway of the establishment in both parties. A bipartisan coalition of ten senators, with the support of President Biden, announced a $600 billion infrastructure plan last week. It's a big election week for liberal democracies. Then the crew explains why they consider four competitive U.S. House districts to be bellwether elections for which party will win control of the House. The crew debates whether a recent Gallup poll showing that more Americans identify with the GOP than the Democratic Party is a "good or bad use of polling." They also check in on where the redistricting process stands around the country and ask what the two parties should be thankful for this Thanksgiving. They also analyze a new poll from the University of New Hampshire that shows the states likely GOP primary voters favoring Florida Gov. You can't imitate a worldview. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Commentators and politicos have given lots of hot takes on why Democrats did so poorly in Tuesday's election and what it portends for the 2022 midterms. Schwartz and McMenamin: 11/29/21. Listen to FiveThirtyEight Politics on Spotify. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. 450 episodes. They also debate whether phone or online polling is a better tool for gauging Americans' views on sensitive topics like the death penalty, and they preview a forthcoming report on how FiveThirtyEight's forecast models did in 2020. They also debate whether a poll asking Americans to choose what they think is the best decade of their lives is a good or bad use of polling. . History professor Yohuru Williams speaks with Galen Druke about how the protest movement sparked by George Floyd's murder compares with past social justice movements. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. LS 81 Global Rank TOP 0.01% ABOUT THIS PODCAST Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. Tensions between the U.S. and China have grown in recent years and, in this installment, the crew looks at changing public opinion of China and how it could shape American politics. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. March 1, 2023 6:30am by Barry Ritholtz. They also ask whether a sentiment analysis suggesting that the press is more negative on Biden than it was on President Trump is a "good or bad use of data.". Two days after Election Day, control of the U.S. House and Senate still hangs in the balance as votes are tallied in the Western states. They also address a listener question that suggests Republicans achieve their policy goals more often than Democrats. And what does Floridas new voting law tell us about the GOPs efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the partys larger motivations? The crew discusses how the scandals surrounding Walker have evolved over the course of his Senate campaign and how the latest could affect the outcome of the race. They also review Democrats agenda for the current lame duck session in Congress and hold their first post-midterm 2024 Democratic primary draft. 1 min read; Jun 05, 2022; Bagikan : parade of homes matterport . By May 21, 2021 0 . They also discuss the trend of amateur candidates running in and winning House primary elections, and ask whether Biden's dismissal of the polls is a "good or bad use of polling.". The episode tracks the 14 days from the murder of the president to when the Johnsons move into the White House, days filled with tragic ceremony and heartfelt moments of solidarity between Jackie Kennedy and Lady Bird. heritage commons university of utah. The director of the Harvard Study of Adult Development -- the longest study of human life ever conducted -- concluded in a new book that close personal relationships are the "one crucial factor [that] stands out for the consistency and power of its ties to physical health, mental health and longevity." The crew also discusses how Americans are responding to the administrations handling of the end of the war. RSS Loading. The crew breaks down Rep. Liz Cheney's loss, what comes next, and who's currently up and down in Alaska. They also ask whether it's too early to conclude that the leak of a draft Supreme Court opinion overturning Roe has had little impact on the political environment. The crew plays an Independence Day-inspired statistics game and discusses how the most recent Jan. 6 hearing could affect how Americans view former President Donald Trump. Galen and Nate open the mailbag to answer listeners questions about politics, polling and more. The Perks Workers Want Also Make Them More Productive, Democrats Are Open To Ditching Biden In 2024. FT Podcasts FT Weekend podcast 31 min listen Best of: Chef Mashama Bailey on reclaiming African-American food The award-winning chef explains her creative process 2 hours ago FT News Briefing. Plus, they debate the best way to ask Americans about their political identity. The Supreme Court heard oral arguments on Wednesday in one of the highest profile cases of the term. Download this theme at theoneamradio.bandcamp.com/track/whatspoint-theme. They also discuss shifting American views on foreign policy and the status of the infrastructure and budget bills currently being considered in the Senate. They also scrutinize a new survey that suggests most Americans think "The West Wing" and other political TV shows are reflective of how politics works. The crew discusses the value of a bipartisan strategy, the motivations behind it and the likelihood of Congress reaching a compromise. They also debate the meaning of a recent poll from Axios that suggests Americans are exhausted. They also touch on the health of the polling industry and how much Biden's success in a potential 2024 primary hangs on Democrats' performance at the midterms. This research library service enables you to: Search more than 2,489,000 U.S. broadcasts using closed captioning; Borrow broadcasts on DVDs; View and Cite short streamed clips; Compare and Contrast perspectives across networks, stations and time; and Place video quotes within your commentary. In his new book "Aftermath: The Last Days of the Baby Boom and the Future of Power in America," Washington Post national columnist Philip Bump argues that many of the fissures that the country is facing today politically, economically, culturally have to do with the Baby Boomers getting old. They also ask whether a new poll showing Biden's approval rating at just 33 percent deserves all the attention it's been getting. The results are mixed in terms of which factions of both parties performed well and the marquee Republican Senate primary race in Pennsylvania is still close to call and could remain that way for days. The crew discusses what the political environment is likely to look like in 2022 based on history and current indicators. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses the best way to poll Americans satisfaction with their own lives and the direction of the country. They also address concerns that the 2020 Census resulted in an undercount of Latinos. In early January of 2020, then-President Trump encouraged Raffensperger to help overturn the election results in Georgia. FiveThirtyEight Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight Podcasts Politics Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week.

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fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts